FAA Airline Pilot Fatigue Analysis Flawed In a Federal Aviation
Administration analysis of its new airline pilot fatigue rules, the
administration has seriously overestimated the cost, and undervalued the
benefits, of applying the flight- and duty-time restrictions and minimum rest
requirements to all-cargo pilots, according to the Air Line Pilots Association,
Int’l.
“When realistic costing is applied and the benefits to pilots’ health are
considered, an investment far less than what the FAA estimates would be required
to bring all airline pilots under one set of fatigue regulations, regardless of
whether they fly passengers or cargo in their aircraft,” said Capt. Lee Moak,
ALPA’s president.
In
comments to the Initial Supplemental Regulatory
Analysis of the FAA’s final pilot fatigue rule, ALPA, the world’s largest
independent aviation safety organization, makes clear that the FAA’s benefit
costing is arbitrary and incomplete. For example:
• The FAA’s selection of the Boeing 727 aircraft is
an invalid basis for the analysis. The B-727 is being phased out by U.S. cargo
carriers, with less than 3 percent of the U.S. cargo fleet analyzed by ALPA
currently consisting of B-727s. As a result, any future cargo accident would
likely involve a larger, heavier aircraft that can carry much larger cargo loads
and fly much greater distances, and the FAA’s analysis vastly undervalues the
monetary effects of not covering all-cargo pilots.
• The FAA fails to take health benefits to pilots
into account. The FAA’s own analysis concludes that the final rule would reduce
fatigue-related flight crew payroll costs by 0.25 percent, resulting in $4.4
million in annual cost savings for cargo-only operations through reduced
fatigue-related sick calls. In the longer view, a growing body of research
across industries indicates that long hours of work and night work are linked to
sleep loss, which in turn leads to a variety of negative health effects and has
been found to be a predictor of both short- and long-term illness.
• A 10-year accident lookback is insufficient. The
air cargo industry has a relatively safe record, but accidents have occurred.
The FAA initially included a 20-year lookback in its analysis. Within those 20
years, four fatigue-related air cargo hull loss accidents occurred. By reducing
the lookback to 10 years, the FAA reduced the overall fatigue-related cargo
accidents to one, even though three had occurred in the previous 10-year span.
ALPA estimates that, given the FAA’s total cost of applying Part 117 to cargo
air carriers, the net annual cost of applying the pilot fatigue regulations to
all-cargo pilots would range from $1.1 million to $9.0 million, which for the
industry as a whole is nominal. The cost of this safety investment will be more
than made up by scheduling changes allowed by Part 117, and if two accidents are
assumed, the benefit would outweigh the costs.
“Cargo pilots fly the same aircraft, over the same routes, operate in the
same airspace and use the same airports,” said Moak. “When you consider the
health benefits and do cost analysis using realistic aircraft, the cost of
protecting all airline pilots from fatigue becomes nominal and is something the
U.S. airline industry simply must do.”
“While ALPA’s all-cargo members are on the front lines of this issue, every
member of the Air Line Pilots Association is dedicated to advancing one level of
safety for all who depend on air transportation in this country,” Moak
concluded. “We urge Congress in the strongest possible terms to pass the Safe
Skies Act of 2013 and bring all airline pilots under the FAA’s fatigue rules.” |